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Category: Iran War

The ECB Maps the Trap, Cracks Form and Bessent Slips Up

September 9, 2026 Ryan Perkins

The Petroyuan Trap hypothesis posits the U.S. war against Iran and subsequent disruption to the Strait of Hormuz is designed…

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Posted in: BRICS, International Trade, Iran War, Petroyuan, US Empire, US War on Iran, US-China Relations

The Harvest Trap: China’s Industrial Squeeze and India’s Impossible Choice

August 25, 2026 Ryan Perkins

For New Readers: The Trap in Brief The Petroyuan Trap proposes that the current energy market calm is not a…

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Posted in: BRICS, International Trade, Iran War, US War on Iran, US-China Relations

The Coiled Spring: A Petroyuan Trap Update

June 12, 2026 Ryan Perkins

America’s Desperate Plan to Break BRICS: Market Manipulation, Energy Crisis and Currency War

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Posted in: International Relations, International Trade, Iran War, Petroyuan, US War on Iran Filed under: energy crisis, Financial Crisis, gulf, petroyuan trap, war on iran

Strategic Opportunity or Systemic Risk? The Emerging Chinese Consensus on a Prolonged War in West Asia

March 27, 2026 Ryan Perkins

For Beijing, a prolonged war in West Asia could open a multi-year window of strategic advantage for Beijing. We explore the emerging Chinese consensus.

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Posted in: Iran War, US Empire, US-China Relations Filed under: BRI, China Expert Commentary, Middle East Energy

The Iran War’s Unseen Fertilizer Crisis

March 20, 2026 Ryan Perkins

In the global fertilizer crisis India just became the world’s most mulnerable major economy and China its most consequential actor.

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Posted in: Agriculture, Iran War, US Empire Filed under: Global Fertilizer, India Agriculture, Iran War, Strait of Hormuz

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Latest on GEI

  • (no title) September 30, 2026
  • From Paper to Metal: China’s Surplus Dilemma September 29, 2026
  • The Impossible Choice: How Iranian Airline Sanctions Are Really Aimed at Beijing September 27, 2026
  • BRICS Accelerates Integration as Economic Pressure Mounts September 25, 2026
  • The ECB Maps the Trap, Cracks Form and Bessent Slips Up September 9, 2026
  • The Harvest Trap: China’s Industrial Squeeze and India’s Impossible Choice August 25, 2026
  • The Rope Thickens: Shorts, Sanctions, the Yen Rescue, the Strait That Isn’t Reopening, and a Message to the Markets: A Petroyuan Trap Update August 18, 2026
  • The Synchronization: Japan’s funding crisis, Korea’s AI collapse, and the energy shock are not separate stories August 12, 2026
  • Economic Asymmetry Is Not Political Control: Deconstructing the Wall Street Journal’s portrait of Russia as China August 1, 2026
  • The Sixth Signal: Congress Tightens the Sanctions Pincer & Q&A July 18, 2026

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